01-10-2015, 11:34 AM | #67 | |
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It's the old "boiling the frog" trick. If you toss a frog in a pot of boiling water, he'll jump out right away. If you put a frog in cold water and gradually turn up the heat over a long period of time, he won't realize that he's sitting in boiling water. BMW has done this regularly with news of turbos and AWD on M cars and FWD architectures. Hell, that's @Scott26's primary job description.
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01-10-2015, 11:43 AM | #68 |
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the future will be
8-10 speed automatics xdrive hybrids systems, running 100% electric w/ gas engine range extenders (2-4cyl) extensive use of aluminum and CF electronic nannies and automation The only original BMW traits will be handling and superior power trains (lots of HP/Torque) compared to their pedestrian peers. Interiors will be state of the art electronics along with the usual luxury. we are heading towards less about the driving but more about coddling and just awesome muscle cars. We have long ago passed real driving, or most people would buy Miatas and learn to maximize it's potential. There's more bragging about 0-60/power numbers, how much $$ you spent, the badge, style and fuel economy. |
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01-10-2015, 11:48 AM | #69 |
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Guys, don't forget that by 2021 an AVERAGE FLEET CO2 emission has to be reduced to 95g/km. Meaning all the best-selling mainstream models will have to feature powertrains that with comply to that strict environmental standard.
Meaning: there will be LOTS of hybrids. Not only by BMW but also from all the other European carmakers. And not only in large cars, crossovers & SUVs & vans etc but also in compact & small ones. So, by 2021-25 (BMW is expected to meet 95g/km fleet average standard by 2024) most of European cars will be hybrids. And there will be a lot more BEVs, EREVs & BEVxs available than today. The future is ELECTRIC. Period. There will also be a lot more of Driver Assistance Systems - with (semi)autonomous driving (the level of driving autonomy will depend on legislative progress). So, what that means for the Ultimate Driving Machine / Sheer Driving Pleasure ... Nothing special in particular. The paradigm & understanding of "driving" is changing rapidly, so ... In the future the Ultimate Driving & Driving Pleasure won't necessarily be associated with notion of active / engaging / fast driving. And BMW will offer such ultimate driving & driving pleasure as will be considered as such by majority at that particular time. Last edited by EnI; 01-10-2015 at 11:57 AM.. |
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01-10-2015, 12:06 PM | #71 |
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Future BMWs will also have 50-50 weight distribution (and modern renditions of the kidney grille). Equal weight distribution -- balance -- is another hallmark of the brand while others don't care very much about it.
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01-10-2015, 12:08 PM | #72 |
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The tech is there. Lithium solid state batteries ... lighter, more powerful, better autonomy, faster charging. What lacks are economies of scales - to make such tech affordable for mass-produced & high-volume cars. That will happen VERY RAPIDLY by 2025 - since carmakers are forced to meet the new environmental standards, and will (all of them) invest al lot to achieve proper economies of scale by that time! Consequently the hi-tech batteries will become (much more) affordable. Same will happen to CFRP which will become much more used in automotive industry - helping to lower or retain the total vehicle weight despite electric / hybrid powertrain on board. The electric grid & charging stations are also being under (re)construction & constant update. Electric suppliers, carmakers, municipalities, cites, sates etc all have planes to develop the charging infrastructure in the next years. Legislators in US, EU & China are pushing & forcing carmakers & their suppliers (eg CFRP, batteries etc) to develop better thing quicker than expected, and produce them at cost-effective levels. Competition among carmakers, battery makers, CF(RP) makers etc also forces all the parties to invest in R&D and new production facilities to gain advantage over the rivals. So, the development in EVs will be much quicker in the next 10 years than it has been in the last 10 years. Much, much, much quicker & steeper! Expect an EXPLOSION & REVOLUTION when it comes to (PH)EVs. The next 10 years (and beyond) will be VERY EXCITING era in the automotive industry. The paradigm change is almost here! Last edited by EnI; 01-10-2015 at 12:15 PM.. |
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01-10-2015, 12:16 PM | #74 | |
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1. How any new power plants and associated infrastructure need to be built? 2. Do we have a clue about the environment impact of batter technology? Not convinced its that much better than oil at this point. Can't wait to see the formation of Organization of Lithium Exporting Countries I am not against new technology at and believe this my be something that will appeal to me but don't tell me that environmentally its that much better and gas which continues to become more efficient. I hope BMW isn't putting too many eggs in the plug-in basket, letting current tech suffer or turning everything into plag-ins because it may very well not be the future especially when some guy figures out how to turn salt water into fuel |
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01-10-2015, 12:37 PM | #75 | ||
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01-10-2015, 12:51 PM | #76 | |
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It's not a secret traffic has been the main culprit for air pollution. OK, fossil fuel based power plants don't lag much behind but traffic is more dangerous due to distribution of pollutant agents / gases within heavily populated areas. So, traffic (unless you live near coal power plant) has much more negative effect on average person's health than power plants. Although greenhouse effects are the same - it doesn't matter what's the source of the troubled gases. So, generally reducing fossil fuel consumption in traffic will have positive effects on people & micro-environment. But increased electricity production from fossil-fuel powered power plants will still have effect on greenhouse effect - so there will hardly be any reductions & positive effects here unless more electricity is produced in a sustainable way (wind, solar & hydro power ... and to lesser extent nuclear power). When it comes to batteries ... they can be reused for some other purpose outside automotive world after vehicle's life cycle ends ... and in the end most materials from batteries can be recycled ... since batteries are produced in a such way they can be recycled. The benefits of EVs are tangible. What holds EVs expansion down are huge initial R&D & production costs until the breaking point (of economies of scale) is reached ... And investments in electrical grid. And the lack of charging standards. But in the end one will certainly prevail. What needs to happen with electric cars is the mass production - something Ford has done with model T and made the cars affordable (although they weren't efficient at all at that time, nor safe, nor comfortable, nor reliable etc). Musk has the same idea when it comes to EVs ... But fortunately he's not alone. Other carmakers are on the same page - only the need a bit more time (since they have to make a smooth transition from ICEVs to BEVs & PHEVs - something Tesla don't have to since they don't make ICE cars). |
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01-10-2015, 01:13 PM | #77 |
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Didn't Neil Peart write a song about this?
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01-10-2015, 01:22 PM | #78 | |
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This technology IS replacing gas cars. Don't hold your breath...but it is happening and well within our lifetime.
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01-10-2015, 01:40 PM | #79 | ||||
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And yes, I'm all for technology. I wanted to buy a tesla, but from a reputable car company...Bmw
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01-10-2015, 02:28 PM | #80 | |
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01-10-2015, 02:45 PM | #81 | |||||
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Tesla makes the safest car to date, and that's not enough? |
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01-10-2015, 03:01 PM | #83 | |
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The main issue is with the Model S is price. Fix that and I see too many major advantages with electric to care about gas anymore. An electric motor is as simple as it gets, especially vs something as complicated as an ICE. The future is looking great! |
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01-10-2015, 03:15 PM | #84 | |
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Like you i've driven plenty of BMWs, old and new and i can also confirm that one can easily take an E36, of example, and achieve the same or better MPG than a modern F30. Do i agree with these new regulations and their methods of testing? Absolutely not. It is due to the methods used in testing MPG by the likes of the EPA et al that have fueled the trend towards turbocharged smaller displacement engines. While real world results may or may not reflect this, the governing bodies only care about results on paper and oil is most definitely not going to stay at $50/barrel. So this trend is here to stay, unfortunately. I, for one, will be driving my thirsty NA high revving engine with caveman technology for as long as i possibly can.
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01-10-2015, 03:17 PM | #85 | |
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Heck, why not: My uncle has a country place that no one knows about He says it used to be a farm before the Motor Law And on Sundays, I elude the eyes, hop the turbine freight To far outside the wire, where my white-haired uncle waits Jump to the ground as the turbo slows to cross the borderline Then run like the wind as excitement shivers up and down my spine But down in his barn, my uncle preserved for me an old machine For fifty odd years, to keep it as new has been his dearest dream I strip away the old debris that hides a shining car A brilliant red Barchetta from a better vanished time Ooh, fired up the willing engine, responding with a roar Tires spitting gravel, I commit my weekly crime Wind in my hair Shifting and drifting Mechanical music Adrenaline surge Well-weathered leather, hot metal and oil The scented country air Sunlight on chrome, the blur of the landscape Every nerve aware Suddenly ahead of me across the mountainside A gleaming alloy air car shoots towards me, two lanes wide I spin around with shrieking tires to run the deadly race It goes screaming through the valley as another joins the chase Drive like the wind, straining the limits of machine and man Laughing out loud with fear and hope, I've got a desperate plan At the one lane bridge, I leave the giants stranded at the riverside Race back to the farm to dream with my uncle at the fireside.
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01-10-2015, 03:22 PM | #86 | ||
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Love the song. The mighty music that drives it, and the color of the car is a given. Thanks for taking me back to my younger days!! As crappy as the weather is today, I am going to go fire up my red BMW and drive it to my appointment. Now I just need to find the music. |
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01-10-2015, 03:30 PM | #87 | |
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As you can tell from my signature, I've had a lot of BMWs, but maybe only the Z4 among them is considered to be "real" by the reverse snobs (although I think the M6 counts, too). The i8 has been revelatory. It is, indeed, the future. And the i8 has a lot of BMW DNA in it. BMW's future will be hybrid and eventually all electric (unless one day we have cold fusion, but not in any of our lifetimes).
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Previously: 2014 i8; 2013 650i convertible; 2013 650i Gran Coupe; 2013 X1; 2010 550i GT; 2010 535 GT; 2010 Z4 3.5; 2008 535ixt; 2007 M6 convertible; 2006 650i convertible; 1996 Z3; 1980 633CSi; 1978 630CS; 1972 3.0CS; 1971 Bavaria. (1971; 1979-2005 & 2017 - ? -- the Mercedes years.)
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01-10-2015, 04:07 PM | #88 | |||
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The problems with electric will be pedestrians being run over by near silent vehicles : Battery issues whilst not solved are being worked upon by companies, I saw some demo somewhere of a guy who had an organic material based battery on a phone that charged in 3 minutes... |
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