BMW M5 Forum

Post Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread
      08-22-2024, 09:49 PM   #1
StitChES37
Enlisted Member
65
Rep
49
Posts

Drives: Tesla Model S (2022)
Join Date: Jul 2024
Location: NC

iTrader: (0)

Lease / Cash / Finance

This is the first time I'm considering a lease. Would folks agree the starting residual is going to be quite low, (36 mo, 10k/yr.... 54%?)

Let's say your actual mileage is less than that... typically 7k/yr.. so a 3yo 21k mile car should trade in for... ~60%.

If that's the case, then you can buy the lease out and sell it (to them or others) to recoup that ~6%. In which case, you wouldn't care if the residual was in the low to mid-50's%, right? Assuming actual trade-in value is ~60%, then as long as you buy the lease out at the end you'd recoup the delta.

Is this logic flawed?
Appreciate 0
      08-22-2024, 10:36 PM   #2
Crazy1323
Lieutenant
306
Rep
455
Posts

Drives: RS6
Join Date: Apr 2015
Location: Memphis

iTrader: (0)

Some manufacturers don’t let you buy a lease out at the end, but I don’t think BMW does that.

You’re logic is good, but sometimes the borrowing rate (known as the money factor with a lease) is much higher with a lease than what you could get with traditional financing.
Appreciate 2
      08-22-2024, 11:19 PM   #3
jnotrom711
Captain
804
Rep
620
Posts

Drives: 2019 M5 Competition
Join Date: Oct 2021
Location: Scottsdale Az

iTrader: (0)

Garage List
2019 G63 AMG  [0.00]
2019 M5 Comp  [0.00]
Typically the first few months of a new model/fresh re-design, or sometimes even the mid-year calendar releases the residuals are a touch higher than what would be normally seen. One reason for this is because, as a 2025 model year, you have the remainder of the year (2024) before the calendar turns to 2025. So there is a few months where the age of the car (not the miles) will affect it less. If that makes sense? Say you get your new g90 in October, you have 3 full months of a 2025 model year, but it's 2024 calendar year. So there is usually a slight drop in residuals once January 1 comes around. It's not a massive difference, maybe 1-2% ish. So they'll have higher money factor to make a little more $, then theyll start the sub-vented lease specials and lower money factors after its been on the road for a few months.

Yes, the money factor can be higher than interest, but it also can be much lower as well. The other nice thing about money factors vs interest is it's typically a set amount, and is not front loaded like interest. The money factor stays the same through out the life of the lease where interest amount declines each month, and towards the end of the finance term youre paying pretty much all principal. So there is pros and cons to both.

Out of curiosity what manufactures don't allow you to buy out the lease at the end? Not saying youre wrong, but was just wondering who?
Appreciate 1
      08-22-2024, 11:57 PM   #4
Crazy1323
Lieutenant
306
Rep
455
Posts

Drives: RS6
Join Date: Apr 2015
Location: Memphis

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by jnotrom711 View Post
Typically the first few months of a new model/fresh re-design, or sometimes even the mid-year calendar releases the residuals are a touch higher than what would be normally seen. One reason for this is because, as a 2025 model year, you have the remainder of the year (2024) before the calendar turns to 2025. So there is a few months where the age of the car (not the miles) will affect it less. If that makes sense? Say you get your new g90 in October, you have 3 full months of a 2025 model year, but it's 2024 calendar year. So there is usually a slight drop in residuals once January 1 comes around. It's not a massive difference, maybe 1-2% ish. So they'll have higher money factor to make a little more $, then theyll start the sub-vented lease specials and lower money factors after its been on the road for a few months.

Yes, the money factor can be higher than interest, but it also can be much lower as well. The other nice thing about money factors vs interest is it's typically a set amount, and is not front loaded like interest. The money factor stays the same through out the life of the lease where interest amount declines each month, and towards the end of the finance term youre paying pretty much all principal. So there is pros and cons to both.

Out of curiosity what manufactures don't allow you to buy out the lease at the end? Not saying youre wrong, but was just wondering who?
Tesla doesn’t and Ford doesn’t on some vehicles (EV’s mainly I think)
Appreciate 0
      08-23-2024, 12:16 AM   #5
jnotrom711
Captain
804
Rep
620
Posts

Drives: 2019 M5 Competition
Join Date: Oct 2021
Location: Scottsdale Az

iTrader: (0)

Garage List
2019 G63 AMG  [0.00]
2019 M5 Comp  [0.00]
Oh, ok, thats why i've not seen this before. Ive never shopped for either of those OEMs. Interesting.
Appreciate 0
      08-23-2024, 07:54 AM   #6
DHDCF
Insert_Rank_Here
DHDCF's Avatar
United_States
421
Rep
207
Posts

Drives: '25 FPG I4 M50 - Sep build
Join Date: Apr 2021
Location: USA

iTrader: (0)

My guy says expect this: 53/52/51. Maybe: 54/53/52.
__________________
2010 M3 Coupe | 2015 M4 Vert | 2016 M4 Coupe
2021 M5 | 2022 M5C | 2023 M8C GC
2023 I4 e40 | 2024 I5 M60
2025 I4 M50 (Sep build)
Appreciate 1
      08-23-2024, 03:35 PM   #7
URBAN LEGEND
Rocky
URBAN LEGEND's Avatar
United_States
438
Rep
3,097
Posts

Drives: 16 M5, 18 ZL1 1LE, 18 M3
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: Brenham TX

iTrader: (0)

Tesla for sure. Last time I checked was during Covid’s though. I just returned a Plaid and buying was never offered. Nor desired by me.
Appreciate 0
      08-24-2024, 07:28 AM   #8
trev230
Captain
trev230's Avatar
402
Rep
643
Posts

Drives: 2022 M5C
Join Date: Sep 2013
Location: Charlotte, NC

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by DHDCF View Post
My guy says expect this: 53/52/51. Maybe: 54/53/52.
If the residuals are that low then the payments even on a very well negotiated lease will be horrid payment wise.
Appreciate 2
Hoonigan235.00
      08-24-2024, 09:10 AM   #9
Crazy1323
Lieutenant
306
Rep
455
Posts

Drives: RS6
Join Date: Apr 2015
Location: Memphis

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by trev230 View Post
If the residuals are that low then the payments even on a very well negotiated lease will be horrid payment wise.
Many companies will give you a $7,500 lease rebate on a PHEV or BEV. This is actually a tax credit that the leasing company gets. This helps make up for bad residuals since it lowers cap costs.
Appreciate 1
SJC1.50
      08-24-2024, 09:16 AM   #10
DHDCF
Insert_Rank_Here
DHDCF's Avatar
United_States
421
Rep
207
Posts

Drives: '25 FPG I4 M50 - Sep build
Join Date: Apr 2021
Location: USA

iTrader: (0)

I am hoping for 5300. 4300 rebate + 1000 loyalty. Whether they offer it or not I'm committed to buying. Im also ordering individual paint, which should push the order out far enough to get potentially three fed interest rate cuts; and that would make up for the Ind costs.
__________________
2010 M3 Coupe | 2015 M4 Vert | 2016 M4 Coupe
2021 M5 | 2022 M5C | 2023 M8C GC
2023 I4 e40 | 2024 I5 M60
2025 I4 M50 (Sep build)
Appreciate 0
      08-24-2024, 09:24 AM   #11
CarlosM4
Captain
Brazil
814
Rep
714
Posts

Drives: C63 AMG
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: Brazil

iTrader: (0)

Even with low residuals (which is the most likely scenario), I would opt for the lease on this car.

PHEV and long term don't seem to go hand in hand
Appreciate 0
      08-24-2024, 10:30 AM   #12
Jc360
Enlisted Member
29
Rep
46
Posts

Drives: x5m
Join Date: Mar 2015
Location: chicago

iTrader: (0)

What are people being quoted for a deposit? I’ve gotten upwards of 5k, been asked to fill out a credit app, and get this: sign a “no refund” deposit form. Yes, seriously.
Appreciate 1
      08-24-2024, 11:28 AM   #13
BimmerBahn
Lieutenant
458
Rep
595
Posts

Drives: 2022 i4 M50, 2015 R8 Comp
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: Sunshine State

iTrader: (0)

Garage List
2019 BMW X5  [0.00]
2017 BMW M3  [9.50]
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jc360 View Post
What are people being quoted for a deposit? I’ve gotten upwards of 5k, been asked to fill out a credit app, and get this: sign a “no refund” deposit form. Yes, seriously.
They’re delusional. Those are the same twits who will a $50K ADM on it.

I put a $1500 deposit - rather just had them take the deposit I put on my i5 M60 reservation and move it to the G99 M5 reservation. That was done back in January ‘24
__________________
Current: ‘19 G05 X5, '22 G26 i4 M50
Retired: F15 X5, F80 M3 ZCP, F10 535d, E84 X1, E90 335d, E92 335i, E46 330i, E39 M5
Appreciate 1
      08-25-2024, 10:34 AM   #14
URBAN LEGEND
Rocky
URBAN LEGEND's Avatar
United_States
438
Rep
3,097
Posts

Drives: 16 M5, 18 ZL1 1LE, 18 M3
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: Brenham TX

iTrader: (0)

1500.00 deposit. This dealer does tires on all my other cars. Plus all past M cars, in addition to buying many cars there. We know each other well. Bigger dealers might be a different story.
Appreciate 1
      08-25-2024, 10:57 PM   #15
Hammer110!
Second Lieutenant
174
Rep
219
Posts

Drives: 22 F90M5C, 22 X7M50i
Join Date: Oct 2021
Location: WPB FL

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by DHDCF View Post
I am hoping for 5300. 4300 rebate + 1000 loyalty. Whether they offer it or not I'm committed to buying. Im also ordering individual paint, which should push the order out far enough to get potentially three fed interest rate cuts; and that would make up for the Ind costs.
Dealer I did deal through via broker was a 2500.00 fully refundable deposit. No dealers at the time were lower than MSRP. I was told I have first allocation after their HEA vehicle. Dealer has no markup on BMWFS MF and standard terms for BMWFS 3/10 lease.

MF is usually driven by demand not so much current lending rates so don’t expect to see much change with that via 3 tranches of Fed rate reductions. If that’s the case that’s a win. Also I do not believe there are any loyalty discounts available as I would qualify. Hopefully lease terms when released allow these.

If MF and Residual are similar to current 540 that puts payment for 3/10 lease with zero capital reduction at approximately 2321 including tax (7%).

Cap cost: 140,845.00
Residual Value: 57%
MF: .0022
Due at signing: 4665.00
1st MO: 2321.00
Up front fees:
925.00 Acquisition
799.00 Dealer fee
Govt fees: 500.00

Keeping fingers crossed that this estimated payment calculation is somewhat close.
Appreciate 4
      08-26-2024, 07:35 AM   #16
DHDCF
Insert_Rank_Here
DHDCF's Avatar
United_States
421
Rep
207
Posts

Drives: '25 FPG I4 M50 - Sep build
Join Date: Apr 2021
Location: USA

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by Hammer110! View Post
Dealer I did deal through via broker was a 2500.00 fully refundable deposit. No dealers at the time were lower than MSRP. I was told I have first allocation after their HEA vehicle. Dealer has no markup on BMWFS MF and standard terms for BMWFS 3/10 lease.

MF is usually driven by demand not so much current lending rates so don’t expect to see much change with that via 3 tranches of Fed rate reductions. If that’s the case that’s a win. Also I do not believe there are any loyalty discounts available as I would qualify. Hopefully lease terms when released allow these.

If MF and Residual are similar to current 540 that puts payment for 3/10 lease with zero capital reduction at approximately 2321 including tax (7%).

Cap cost: 140,845.00
Residual Value: 57%
MF: .0022
Due at signing: 4665.00
1st MO: 2321.00
Up front fees:
925.00 Acquisition
799.00 Dealer fee
Govt fees: 500.00

Keeping fingers crossed that this estimated payment calculation is somewhat close.
Everything I read, as well, as what my guy says, points to interest rates affecting lease rates, but I'm committed either way.

I think you should plan on max of 54% residual in best scenario. I'll add that I am new to the lease world though...my i5 m60 was the first of 15 BMWs that I leased and that was only to take advantage of the 7500.
__________________
2010 M3 Coupe | 2015 M4 Vert | 2016 M4 Coupe
2021 M5 | 2022 M5C | 2023 M8C GC
2023 I4 e40 | 2024 I5 M60
2025 I4 M50 (Sep build)
Appreciate 0
      09-02-2024, 07:59 AM   #17
CarlosM4
Captain
Brazil
814
Rep
714
Posts

Drives: C63 AMG
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: Brazil

iTrader: (0)

I don't think residuals are going to be much higher than 50%, because this is very likely where the value of the new M5 will be.
Appreciate 0
      10-05-2024, 11:16 PM   #18
Hammer110!
Second Lieutenant
174
Rep
219
Posts

Drives: 22 F90M5C, 22 X7M50i
Join Date: Oct 2021
Location: WPB FL

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by CarlosM4 View Post
I don't think residuals are going to be much higher than 50%, because this is very likely where the value of the new M5 will be.
Just got my lease terms quote for delivery 12/24.

36 mo 10K yr.

RV: 57%
MF: .0025
Appreciate 3
      10-06-2024, 12:47 AM   #19
mjr24
Colonel
2355
Rep
2,883
Posts

Drives: 25 X7, 24 I7
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Wisconsin

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by Hammer110! View Post
Dealer I did deal through via broker was a 2500.00 fully refundable deposit. No dealers at the time were lower than MSRP. I was told I have first allocation after their HEA vehicle. Dealer has no markup on BMWFS MF and standard terms for BMWFS 3/10 lease.

MF is usually driven by demand not so much current lending rates so don’t expect to see much change with that via 3 tranches of Fed rate reductions. If that’s the case that’s a win. Also I do not believe there are any loyalty discounts available as I would qualify. Hopefully lease terms when released allow these.

If MF and Residual are similar to current 540 that puts payment for 3/10 lease with zero capital reduction at approximately 2321 including tax (7%).

Cap cost: 140,845.00
Residual Value: 57%
MF: .0022
Due at signing: 4665.00
1st MO: 2321.00
Up front fees:
925.00 Acquisition
799.00 Dealer fee
Govt fees: 500.00

Keeping fingers crossed that this estimated payment calculation is somewhat close.
That’s an incredibly shitty deal for a $140k car. $2300 a month? Hard pass….especially on this car. Can’t say I’ve ever seen a BMW with a MF that high, either. Sounds like that dealer nailed you by marking up that MF.
__________________
2025 X7 40i, 2024 I7 60i, 2022 M8 Comp GC, 2021 AMG GT53, 2022 X5M Competition, 2021 X7 40i, 2019 M5, 2018 M550I, 2017 Audi Q7, 2014 M6 GC, 2013 Mercedes CLS550, 2011 750LI, 2008 M6 Cabrio, 2008 Porsche Cayenne S, 2004 Mercedes SL55 AMG, 2003 Mercedes SL500, 2000 Mercedes CL500, 1993 Lexus SC400, 1989 525i, 1985 318i

Last edited by mjr24; 10-06-2024 at 12:48 AM..
Appreciate 0
      10-06-2024, 04:04 AM   #20
Hammer110!
Second Lieutenant
174
Rep
219
Posts

Drives: 22 F90M5C, 22 X7M50i
Join Date: Oct 2021
Location: WPB FL

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by mjr24 View Post
That’s an incredibly shitty deal for a $140k car. $2300 a month? Hard pass….especially on this car. Can’t say I’ve ever seen a BMW with a MF that high, either. Sounds like that dealer nailed you by marking up that MF.
Sorry typo ����. MF is .00225


It’s base BMWFS MF zero markup. Effective 5.4%. In line with G90 std 5 series lease. If you know of any better terms I’m all ears. I agree the monthly is a big nut but it all gets run through the business so personally it’s not a big deal to me.
Appreciate 2
      10-06-2024, 06:13 AM   #21
DocWeatherington
Brigadier General
DocWeatherington's Avatar
United_States
3360
Rep
4,396
Posts

Drives: F90 CP
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: US

iTrader: (0)

Garage List
2024 XM  [10.00]
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hammer110! View Post
Sorry typo 🙄🙄. MF is .00225


It’s base BMWFS MF zero markup. Effective 5.4%. In line with G90 std 5 series lease. If you know of any better terms I’m all ears. I agree the monthly is a big nut but it all gets run through the business so personally it’s not a big deal to me.
High interest rates , it's sucks but it is what it is.

Congrats.. let us know the final numbers upon delivery.
Appreciate 0
      10-07-2024, 05:47 PM   #22
Greer
Colonel
Greer's Avatar
2174
Rep
2,640
Posts

Drives: 2022 M5 Competition
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Los Angeles

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by mjr24 View Post
That’s $2300 a month? Hard pass.
I think at these rates the G90 M5's will be sitting on dealer lots with people waiting for the deals to drop.
__________________
2022 F90 M5 Competition & 2019 M2 Competition
2019 F90 M5 Competition
2017 F80 M3 Competition
2014 F10 M5 Competition
2003 E39 M5
Appreciate 1
RJH52620.00
Post Reply

Bookmarks


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off



All times are GMT -5. The time now is 09:05 PM.




m5:
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
1Addicts.com, BIMMERPOST.com, E90Post.com, F30Post.com, M3Post.com, ZPost.com, 5Post.com, 6Post.com, 7Post.com, XBimmers.com logo and trademark are properties of BIMMERPOST