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      02-12-2025, 12:42 PM   #1
Gemini562
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Should we be worried about asteroid 2024 YR4?

So, asteroid 2024 YR4 has a 2.3% chance of hitting Earth. If it does, we’re talking 8 megatons of TNT and that's 500 times bigger than the Hiroshima bomb. It’s huge, but we’re not facing total destruction. The map shows where it might land. We’ll probably be okay, but it’s still a pretty big deal.
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      02-12-2025, 12:51 PM   #2
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No.
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      02-12-2025, 12:58 PM   #3
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Yep, just 'Don’t Look Up'.
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      02-12-2025, 01:01 PM   #4
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I'm thinking that anybody who bought a lottery ticket should be crapping themselves at those odds. Me, I figure it might be a welcome diversion.

Last edited by Maynard; 02-12-2025 at 04:06 PM..
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      02-12-2025, 01:06 PM   #5
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Won't reach this part of the solar system till Dec, 2032 and who knows what will happen before then.
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      02-12-2025, 01:08 PM   #6
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Esteban View Post
Won't reach this part of the solar system till Dec, 2032 and who knows what will happen before then.
A week ago it was a little over 1% now it’s over 2%. Can I get asteroid insurance for my house?
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      02-12-2025, 01:25 PM   #7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Gemini562 View Post
A week ago it was a little over 1% now it’s over 2%. Can I get asteroid insurance for my house?
I just had a claim for roof damage from a windstorm and I'm waiting for my insurance to cancel my policy.
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      02-12-2025, 01:52 PM   #8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Esteban View Post
Won't reach this part of the solar system till Dec, 2032 and who knows what will happen before then.
Good reason to not bother to fix social security.
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      02-12-2025, 01:53 PM   #9
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You should be very worried. It has a high probability of hitting us because the eart is flat.
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      02-12-2025, 02:04 PM   #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Esteban View Post
I just had a claim for roof damage from a windstorm and I'm waiting for my insurance to cancel my policy.
Good luck.
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      02-12-2025, 02:10 PM   #11
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Quote:
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You should be very worried. It has a high probability of hitting us because the eart is flat.
Imagine how big a hole that will make.

Bad enough that we already have to worry about falling off the edge of the earth. A big hole in the middle will just makes things worse.
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      02-12-2025, 02:15 PM   #12
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Maynard View Post
I'm thinking that anybody who boughta lottery ticket should be crapping themselves at those odds. Me, I figure it might be a welcome diversion.
I'm waiting for the sports betting places to start a meteor strike pool. Looking at the above map, Lagos, Nigeria is my prediction of ground zero since it is in the middle of the stripe. If any Nigerian Princes are looking for a safe place to shelter their fortunes, let me know!

Quote:
Originally Posted by Gemini562 View Post
A week ago it was a little over 1% now it’s over 2%. Can I get asteroid insurance for my house?
I would laugh, but my car was actually struck by falling space junk one time. It was a fingernail-sized flake of hot titanium, that tore through the leaves of the tree where my car was parked and bounced off the windshield just as I was about to climb in. No damage, probably because the leaves slowed it down significantly.....
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      02-12-2025, 02:25 PM   #13
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      02-12-2025, 02:46 PM   #14
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Quote:
Originally Posted by M_Six View Post
Imagine how big a hole that will make.

Bad enough that we already have to worry about falling off the edge of the earth. A big hole in the middle will just makes things worse.
The oceans will drain out through the hole and that will be that. Won’t
need an Ark. Kind of a reverse 40 days and 40 nights. Maybe start
investing in camels.
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      02-12-2025, 05:06 PM   #15
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Nope. If it hits us, it hits us. The human race will eventually end. In the grand scheme of the universe it doesn't really matter if it's tomorrow or a million years from now. Enjoy the time you have and help others enjoy their time.
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      02-12-2025, 05:38 PM   #16
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      02-12-2025, 05:48 PM   #17
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Quote:
Originally Posted by M_Six View Post
Imagine how big a hole that will make.

Bad enough that we already have to worry about falling off the edge of the earth. A big hole in the middle will just makes things worse.
That's what I'm saying. Unless it hits somewhere in the middle of China. They already have a wall around the country, so it won't be difficult to keep people away from the hole.
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      02-12-2025, 08:32 PM   #18
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Quote:
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Imagine how big a hole that will make.




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      Today, 11:43 AM   #19
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Chances of YR4 hitting Earth is now at 3.1%. Defund NASA before they increase the chances even more!
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      Today, 12:44 PM   #20
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Gemini562 View Post
Chances of YR4 hitting Earth is now at 3.1%. Defund NASA before they increase the chances even more!
Hmm….just to put this into perspective, the chances of it NOT hitting us is 96.9%
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      Today, 01:24 PM   #21
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Chappers 71 View Post
Hmm….just to put this into perspective, the chances of it NOT hitting us is 96.9%
Yeah, but the real concern is that the odds are going up. It was 2.3% last week, now it’s 3.1%. If that trend keeps up, it won’t stay a ‘small chance’ for long. Kinda gives off 'Don’t Look Up' vibes.
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      Today, 02:24 PM   #22
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..duck...

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